Europe should brace for ‘harsh decisions’ if Trump is re-elected, says ECB’s Lagarde

ECB President Christine Lagarde pictured during an interview with CNN's Richard Quest

ECB President Christine Lagarde pictured during an interview with CNN’s Richard QuestCNNLondonCNN — 

Europe should prepare for possible threats to its economy — including new US tariffs on its exports — if Donald Trump returns to the White House, according to European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde.

“If you look at what those years were when Mr Trump was president of the United States… there could be threats and there could be issues for which the Europeans should be prepared,” she told CNN’s Richard Quest in an exclusive interview Monday.

“Let us prepare for potential tariffs, for potential harsh decisions that would be unexpected. Let us be strong at home.”

Lagarde is the latest EU official to weigh in on what a second Trump presidency could mean for the European Union’s $16 trillion economy, which is heavily reliant on trade with the United States.

The transatlantic relationship was strained during Trump’s first term, not least by a tit-for-tat trade spat between Washington and Brussels. That dispute saw the United States impose tariffs on EU steel and aluminum, to which the EU responded with tariffs on $3 billion worth of US goods, including whiskey, motorcycles and denim.

Following Trump’s early success in the current Republican primaries, European officials are confronting the prospect that he could be back in the Oval Office by this time next year, an outcome with potential implications for everything from US trade policy to America’s financial support for Ukraine in the war against Russia.

The United States is the EU’s biggest source of foreign direct investment. Trade in goods and services between the United States and the EU totaled $1.3 trillion in 2022, making it the largest bilateral trade and investment relationship in the world, according to official figures.

US President Donald Trump speaks with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen prior to their meeting at the World Economic Forum in Davos, on January 21, 2020. (Photo by JIM WATSON/AFP via Getty Images)

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From Lagarde’s perspective, the best way for Europe to prepare for a second Trump term would be to bolster its single market, which ensures the free movement of goods, services, people and capital across 27 countries.

That would mean integrating the EU’s financial markets to make it easier for smaller companies to raise funding “to facilitate and encourage innovation,” Lagarde said. She also called for professional qualifications to be equally recognized across the bloc’s member states.

“The benefit of being more (of) and really a single market is tremendous and I think we have to just move in that direction. That’s how Europe moves, by the way, when it is under threat,” she added.

Lagarde stood by comments she made earlier this month in an interview with French TV channel France 2 that Trump’s potential re-election is “clearly a threat” to Europe, judging by the policies implemented during his first term in office.

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